Consumer confidence 54.1 vs. 48 consensus

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  • Consumer confidence has rebounded in the month of August after seeing deterioration in July.
  • The increase was partly due to an improvement in consumer's’ assessment of the job market.
  • Conference board said its consumer confidence index jumped to 54.1 in August from an upwardly revised 46.6 in July. 
  • Economists had been expecting the index to increase to 47.9 from 46.6 originally reported from the previous month.

“Consumer confidence, which had posted back-to-back monthly declines, appears to be back on the mend.” – Lynn Franco (Director of the Conference board Consumer Research)

  • The bigger than expected increase by the consumer confidence index was partly due to a slight improvement in consumers’ assessment of current conditions, with the present conditions edging up to 24.9 from 23.3 in July.
  • Those claiming business conditions are “bad” fell to 45.6% from 46.5%.
  • Those claiming conditions are “good” also edged down to 8.6% from 8.9%.
  • Consumers also had a more favorable appraisal of the job market, as those saying jobs are “plentiful” rose to 3.2% from 3.7%
  • Those saying jobs are “hard to get” fell to 45.1% from 48.5%
  • Report also showed a better improvement in consumers’ assessment of the short term outlook, with expectations index rising to 73.5% in August from 63.4% in July.

"Consumers were more upbeat in their short-term outlook for both the economy and the job market in August, but only slightly more upbeat in their income expectations” – Lynn Franco

  • Consumers expecting an improvement in business conditions over the next 6 months rose to 22.4% from 18.4%
  • Those expecting conditions to worsen decreased to 15.8% from 19%
  • Conference board said that the outlook for the labor market was also more upbeat, as those expecting more jobs in the months ahead rose to 18.4% from 15.5% and those expecting fewer jobs decreased to 23.3% from 26.1%.
  • Report also showed that consumers expecting an increase in their incomes increased slightly to 10.6% from 10.1%

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Source: RTT News, Reuters & Barron's

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